How to Develop a High Safe-esteem

Survive and Thrive in the Post-Industrial Threat Landscape

Developed and Conducted in Partnership with Safe-esteem

 
 

PREDICTIVE PROCESSING

A spagetti plot of a storm forecast in the Gulf of Mexico
  • Risk and high-value predictions

  • Precision-Weighing: Our Built-In Value of Information (VOI)

  • Updating and correction: signal strength

  • Augmented Sensory and Cognitive Processing: The Role of Technology


anecdotal vs. clinical vs. actuarial insights

  • The Quality of our Perceptions

  • Micromorts in Everyday Life: Maybe Not?

  • The Gift of Fear or a Curse? If and When to Trust Our Guts

  • Criminal Victimization Theories

    • Lifestyle and Routines

    • Space (Place) and Time Dimensions


Situational Awareness: Beyond Cooper’s Color Code

  • The Limits of Awareness

  • The Invisible Gorilla

  • Informed (Situational) Awareness: What's Going On Here?

  • Attention Fatigue and Depletion

  • Types of Focus


the value and limits of experience

  • Practice, History, and Anecdotes

    • Generalizing from the Particular

  • Clinical Judgment: Don’t be a Turkey

  • Blending Probabilistic, Bayesian, Clinical, and Intuitive Thinking

  • Simple Rules: Checklists and other Decision Support Tools

  • Scenario Planning: The Value is in the Story


No one would believe that laying bricks long enough equates to a structural engineering degree, or that years of sailing result in expertise in oceanography - but most of us assume that security and police work, intelligence analysis, or military experience translate in risk competency.