Learn which/how cognitive biases and heuristics shape risk perception and judgment

  • Prospect Theory and the End of Homus Economicus

  • Kahneman & Tversky: Low vs High Validity Domains

  • Taleb’s Extremistan vs Mediocristan (on Tail Risks)

  • 10,000 Hours, Really?

  • Cultural Cognition: Dan Kahan

  • Values, Identity, and Tribe

  • The Decision Quality School: Key Takeaways

Risk Judgment Diagram

Courtesy of Safe-esteem

Political Polarization and Risk Perception

Key Cognitive-Behavioral Insights

  • Ambiguity: Purpose, Benefits, and Side Effects

  • The Feeling and Construct of Risk

  • Risk Rating & Ranking

  • Personalized Perception & Framing

  • Heuristics: the Good and the Bad

  • Judgement Bias and Noise

“The strength of our convictions, including those about risk, has no correlation with their validity.”